Happy New Year! It’s the time of year that we ask you to perform your
actuarial valuation to measure your Funded Status. We have updated the
Actuarial Financial Planner (AFP) spreadsheets for this purpose and
encourage you to use the granular spending budget that we outlined in
our previous post together with the updated AFP spreadsheets, to measure your January 1, 2025 Funded Status. As
part of the annual valuation process, we also encourage you to monitor
the changes in your Funded Status from year to year and to make changes
in your spending budget or your assets if appropriate. This may involve
possibly increasing your spending plans this year if your Funded Status
is growing too large. This year, you can also stress-test your
plan by changing assumptions used in the AFP to assess and manage risks
that the assumptions used in the AFP may not be realized in the future.In
our previous post, we discussed a few tips for using the data from your
granular spending budget in the AFP. We have already received one
question on item 3 from that post where we said:Present values of non-recurring expenses are generally entered into the AFP by entering data into the following cells:Annual AmountDeferral PeriodPayment PeriodAnnual Rate of Increase% Upside (assets) or %Essential (Liabilities)Where
“annual amount” is increased by inflation (or some other reasonable
rate) from the current year until the expected year of first payment.The
reader’s question was, “how is the annual amount increased with
inflation for the period of deferral?” We will answer with an example.
Let’s assume that you have an expense (e.g., a new car) that you don’t
expect to incur for 10 years (deferral period), and you expect this
expense to be paid in 1 year. Further, you expect the price of cars to
increase by assumed inflation of 3% per year. If the current price of
the car you want is $50,000, you will enter $67,196 in the Annual Amount
cell above and 1 year in the Payment Period cell to determine the
present value of this budgeted expense. Since this expense is
anticipated to be paid off in one year, you needn’t bother entering a
rate of increase (for future years) once the payment is assumed to
commence. The amount of $67,196 is equal to $50,000 X 1.03 to the 10th power, or $50,000 X (1.03) X (1.03) X (1.03)…(1.03) [total of ten times].This
same calculation approach may apply to determine the present value of
some household assets, like Social Security benefits with deferred
commencement.We hope you have a great new year. Happy Budgeting and Planning!
Headlines
-
A Harbinger of What Will Happen to the U.S.? – Center for Retirement Research
-
How Can Smart People Argue for a Tax Cut? – Center for Retirement Research
-
Will the Average Retirement Age Keep Rising? – Center for Retirement Research
-
The Truth about Immigrants, Medicare, and Social Security – Center for Retirement Research
-
Can I Afford to Buy that Dream Lake House (or Some Other Big-Ticket Item)?